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个人云盘：阿里云看不见，百度和腾讯微云争霸_我的网站

一 |     WASHINGTON -- President Joe Biden is considering a trip to Israel in the coming days, but nothing has been finalized, a senior administration official said Sunday.A trip would send the strongest message yet that the U.S. is behind Israel following the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas. The administration has already pledged military support, sending U.S. aircraft carriers to the region as well as aid. Officials have said they would ask Congress for upward of $2 billion in aid for both Israel and Ukraine.The official could not publicly discuss internal deliberations about the potential presidential travel and spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity. THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.Egypt's president criticized Israel’s military operation in Gaza in a stern pushback Sunday to the United States as America's top diplomat extended his frenetic travels across the Mideast trying to prevent the war with Hamas from igniting a broader regional conflict.With an Israeli ground offensive looming, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken reaffirmed in some of his strongest language to date that Washington would stand with Israel “today, tomorrow and every day” in a partnership of shared democratic values, but that Israel must take “every possible precaution to avoid harming civilians.” He leveled no direct public criticism of Israel or its bombing campaign that has killed civilians in Gaza.From Cairo, where President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi conveyed his criticism, Blinken went to Jordan and planned to return to Israel on Monday, carrying to Israeli leaders the feedback he received in a rush of meetings with leaders throughout the Arab world.His second visit to Israel in recent days will come amid heightening fears that a looming Israeli move into Gaza could spark a wider war with devastating humanitarian consequences, a growing concern for the Biden administration. And the death toll of U.S. citizens rose to 30, with 13 still missing.Egypt’s state-run media said el-Sissi told Blinken that Israel’s Gaza operation has exceeded “the right of self-defense” and turned into “a collective punishment."Blinken told reporters before leaving Egypt that “Israel has the right, indeed it has the obligation to defend itself against these attacks from Hamas and to try to do what it can to make sure that this never happens again." Mindful of the potential human cost in Gaza, Blinken said "the way that Israel does this matters. It needs to do it in a way that affirms the shared values that we have for human life and human dignity, taking every possible precaution to avoid harming civilians.’’Earlier Sunday, the envoy met with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, talks that built upon earlier sessions with the leaders of the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Qatar, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority. Blinken said that what he heard in every meeting with Arab leaders “was a determination of shared view that we have to do everything possible to make sure this doesn’t spread to other places, a shared view to safeguard innocent lives, a shared view to get assistance to Palestinians in Gaza who need it and we’re working very much on that.”The White House also appointed David Satterfield, a former ambassador to Lebanon and Turkey, to lead U.S. efforts to get humanitarian assistance to “vulnerable people through the Middle East.” Satterfield was expected to arrive in Israel on Monday.From Washington, President Joe Biden’s national security adviser said the U.S. was not “making requests or demands of Israel with respect to its military operations.” Jake Sullivan, making the rounds of the Sunday TV news shows, said the administration was “simply stating our basic principles — the principles upon which this country is based and all democracies, including Israel, are based. It’s what makes us different from the terrorists, that in fact we respect civilian life.”He said the U.S. was not “not interfering in their military planning or trying to give them instructions or requests specific.” Sullivan said the U.S. is conveying the message in public and in private that “all military operations should be conducted consistent with law of war, that civilians should be protected, that civilians should have a real opportunity to get to safety” and have access to food, water, medicine and shelter.Those remarks marked a shift in the U.S. administration's comments in recent days as officials have heard concerns from Arab leaders about the consequences of what a humanitarian catastrophe resulting from an Israeli ground offensive would do not only to Palestinians but also in inflaming public opinions in Arab nations and potentially destabilizing relatively friendly countries.Sullivan also said the U.S. has been unable so far to get American citizens out of Gaza through Egypt’s Rafah crossing with Gaza. “It has been difficult to execute that operation to facilitate their passage out. … It’s a high priority,” acknowledging that “I’m not aware of anyone else being able to get out at this time.” The crossing was closed because of airstrikes early in the war. There are an estimated 500 Americans living in Gaza, but that number is imprecise, officials have said.U.S. officials have said the Arab reaction to Blinken’s message has been generally positive — acknowledging Israel has a right to respond to the Hamas attacks but expressing deep concern about the humanitarian situation in Gaza and unable to stay silent about the Palestinian civilian casualties that result. The Arab leaders have also said the current situation cannot be resolved without an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal that gives the Palestinians an independent state.Blinken made clear in Egypt that the U.S. will not waver in supporting Israel, saying, "We will stand with it today, tomorrow and every day and we’re doing that in word and also in deed.’’In his roughly hourlong meeting with Prince Mohammed at the de facto Saudi leader’s private farm outside Riyadh, Blinken “highlighted the United States’ unwavering focus on halting terrorist attacks by Hamas, securing the release of all hostages, and preventing the conflict from spreading,” the State Department said.“The two affirmed their shared commitment to protecting civilians and to advancing stability across the Middle East and beyond,” according to a department statement.The Saudi description of the meeting focused primarily on Palestinian civilians, echoing the sentiments that the other Arab leaders with whom Blinken has met. It said Saudi Arabia would object to the targeting of “civilians in any way or disrupt(ing) infrastructure and vital interests that affect their daily lives.”The prince “stressed the need to work to discuss ways to stop the military operations that claimed the lives of innocent people,“ the Saudi Press Agency said in a report about the meeting.___Associated Press writers Sam Magdy in Cairo, Colleen Long in Washington and Michelle L. Price in New York contributed to this report.。“忙是你的，我什么都没有”是目前个人云行业最恰当的描述。云服务业有无数的资金搭建平台，许多企业唱不出歌来，生动活泼。

二 | 市场研究公司wikibon于2018年发布了云计算市场回顾和2019年的展望报告。报告显示，2018年全球云服务市场达到2370亿美元，预计2027年将达到8140亿美元。云服务市场非常活跃。亚马逊、谷歌、微软等云服务在国际市场上存在竞争。阿里、腾讯和华为云在中国也发生过冲突。与云服务的活力相比，云服务“亲子”的个人云硬盘行业尤其冷酷。根据ai media consulting发布的《2018年中国云计算产业发展报告》数据，2019年中国云计算产业规模有望达到4300亿元，而ai media consulting发布的另一份个人云硬盘产业报告预测，个人云硬盘产业规模2019年仅8.6亿元，不到云服务业的2%。更重要的是，个人云硬盘行业的“新一代”也陷入了“中老年”活力的缺失。马太效应先于个人云产业，导致个人云产业活力低下。其主要原因是马太效应加剧，非主力球员无法上场，而处于双赢状态的主力球员则变得更小。众所周知，中国个人云硬盘产业的崛起仅仅是2012年之后的几年。为什么马修效应来得这么快？首先，个人云业务更是“鸡肋”，一些企业已自愿放弃。发展个人云硬盘业务需要企业租用大量的服务器为客户提供存储和下载服务，但个人云硬盘服务一般都是免费模式，这使得这些企业不仅面临着较高的服务器服务成本和其他运营成本，而且没有利润来源，这是一个非常重要的问题。

三 | MPLY的亏损和盈利，使得许多企业主动放弃了个人磁盘服装。

四 | 巨人是不同的。因为他们的规模很大，大企业愿意做生意，即使他们能赚很多钱。另外，作为云服务的一部分，个人云硬盘服务也有一定的发展前景，可以补充这些云服务巨头的生态产品。例如，腾讯伟云可以为腾讯社交网络软件提供网络磁盘服务，丰富产品功能；华为网络磁盘可以帮助华为手机用户提供云存储、手机备份等功能，是手机体验提升的助推器。因此，这些巨头愿意留在个人云行业。很自然，当“分割者”数量减少时，马修的效果会加强。第二，一些“强手”因为犯规而被淘汰。在2002年冬奥会男子短道速滑半决赛中，几名实力雄厚的冠军选手因意外摔倒而被淘汰，部分选手直接进入决赛。个人云硬盘行业也经历过类似的事情。

五 | 由于部分平台存在“非法内容”，2016年个人网络产业关闭。据报道，今年关闭了7个个人网络平台，其中最著名的是360个。360个网络磁盘的市场份额最高达到15.94%，仅次于百度网络磁盘。落潮造成了个人云硬盘行业的一个失误，无形中强化了个人云硬盘行业的“马太效应”。这与分子保持不变时分母在数学上减少而原始数的值增加的原因相同。第三，主要参与者希望进一步扩大市场份额。欲望形成的前提是“有利可图”，个人云端玩家已经有了一个可行的商业模式。人工智能媒体咨询在《中国个人云硬盘行业研究报告2018》中指出，目前个人云硬盘主机运营商的业务模式是通过免费的基础服务获取用户流量，通过增值服务获取利润。例如，百度推出了三级会员制，即普通用户、会员和超级会员，利用基本功能流失，然后利用功能体验差异吸引付费会员，形成良好的业务闭环。腾讯伟云也在实施三级会员制。此外，如天意云盘、华为磁盘、小米磁盘等都引入了会员制。会员制的优点是既能获得一定的利润和减少亏损，又能满足非会员的基本需求，更合理地配置有限的资源。在马太效应的加重下，谁是破坏者？根据ai media consulting发布的《中国个人云硬盘行业研究报告2018》的数据，前四名的市场份额接近80%。其中，百度网盘仅占行业市场份额的61.6%。此外，易观千帆的数据显示，只有腾讯伟云和百度磁盘拥有超过100万活跃用户（7638万腾讯伟云），百度磁盘每月拥有超过1000万活跃用户（6063.5万），其他磁盘每月拥有超过100万活跃用户。个人云硬盘行业的马太效应已经加剧。马太效应加剧，百度的第一个位置将变得越来越稳定，唯一能威胁百度网络的就是腾讯伟云。

六 | 从用户的角度看，腾讯微云有超越百度磁盘的潜力。

七 | 百度网盘目前绝对是个人云硬盘行业的第一，未来相当长一段时间内将是行业的第一，但其潜在用户增长势头不足。百度总裁张亚琴在2008年ABC峰会百度云芝峰会上宣布，目前百度磁盘的用户数量已经增加了两倍。根据2016年的相关数据，作者估计百度磁盘的用户基数应该在6亿左右。然而，中国互联网发展的统计报告显示，只有8亿中国网民突破，这表明只有2亿左右的百度磁盘可供开发。

八 | 相反，腾讯云平台副总裁季顺友曾透露，腾讯微云用户已超过3亿，但注册用户数量尚未公布。尽管用户数量少于百度，但不要忘记腾讯拥有10亿以上的小额信贷用户。微博上的文件云存储和下载均基于腾讯微云。随着移动办公时代的到来，腾讯微云依靠微聊10亿的流量池，至少有6亿潜在用户。从这个角度来看，腾讯微云在用户增长方面有可能挑战百度磁盘。在经验上，腾讯微云有着微妙的优势。老实说，使用百度磁盘和腾讯微云的体验对普通用户不是很友好。它不仅限制了速度，而且还限制了下载和上传的文件数量，这使得人们想要粉碎他们的计算机。二者的使用体验是半打，无法区分优缺点，如果要选择，还是腾讯微云使用体验更好。百度磁盘主要使用百度账号登录，虽然它也提供微博、微博、QQ等登录不显眼的地方，但对于普通用户来说，登录方式更不方便。腾讯微云可以使用QQ和微信直接登录，缩短了注册过程，大大降低了用户的使用门槛，带来了更方便使用的直接好处。从成本效益的角度来看，腾讯伟云在支付项目上要高于百度磁盘。从双方官方网关对各级用户权限的介绍可以看出，百度磁盘在基本服务的云存储空间上具有明显优于腾讯微云的优势。百度磁盘的自由空间高达2t，腾讯微云的自由空间只有10g，但腾讯伟云的付费会员更具成本效益。

九 | 首先，腾讯伟云的平均月价和超级会员月价分别为10元/月和20元/月，百度的月价分别为10元/月和68元/季度（23.3元/月）。

十 | 腾讯伟云在价格上更具优势。

十一 | 看看会员可以享有的权益。腾讯伟云普通会员和超级会员可分别享受3T和6T云存储空间。百度普通会员和超级会员可以享受的云存储空间是2t和5t，比腾讯微云要小。总之，腾讯微云具有较高的性价比。通过以上比较，我们可以看出百度磁盘在当前个人云硬盘行业中确实是排名第一的。腾讯卫云也有机会与百度磁盘竞争。未来，百度将继续主宰个人云产业，否则腾讯将取代未云。很难得出结论，这两家公司与其他企业的整体市场份额将越来越大。辩证地看待个人云盘行业的马太效应，每个行业都会有马太效应，但个人云盘行业的马太效应更为强烈。就像旅游业的马太效应一样，它既有优点也有缺点。马太效应对个人云硬盘产业的影响需要辩证地对待。让我们从利润方面开始。马太效应的加强有利于个人云硬盘行业的规范化，可以有效避免资源浪费。一般来说，市场份额的大小决定了企业在市场中的发言权。随着个人云产业马太效应的增强，百度和腾讯卫云的语音权得到了进一步增强。从手机行业、通信行业、芯片行业等行业的经验来看，提升话语权可以促进行业的规范化。

十二 | 例如，自2016年华为成为全球最大的电信设备制造商以来，华为制定的规则在电信行业的应用越来越广泛。

十三 | 5G技术的一些规则是由华为制定的。同时，在马修效应强化后，百度磁盘和腾讯微云制定的规则更能把握市场的主动性，能够根据市场需求自主调度云资源，避免了不合理竞争造成的资源浪费。例如，虚拟运营商与移动、电信和联通等巨头竞争，这使得他们不得不重复建设基站来升级服务。

十四 | 例如，用户较少的中国联通还建立了覆盖全国的信号基站，与中国移动基站重复，造成了一定的资源浪费。在谈到积极的一面之后，是时候谈谈它带来的缺点了。个人网络产业的马太效应会加剧，对消费者和行业都会产生不利影响。对于个人消费者而言，个人云服务平台的选择性大大降低。旅游业就是一个典型的例子。当我们在打败其他平台之前退出风车服务，形成一种主导局面时，没有车可打，高峰时段没有司机开价。这是消费者不想看到的。此外，不利于整个行业的长期发展。目前，个人云硬盘行业前四大市场份额超过80%。随着马太效应的增强，这一比例将进一步提高，这是一种非常不健康的模式。众所周知，“鲶鱼效应”，沙丁鱼很容易受到机舱内缺乏天敌的攻击。同样，马太效应后获得优势的平台，会导致相对舒适的生活，导致平台活力下降，最终导致这些平台的服务质量停滞甚至下降，最终影响整个行业的长期发展。一般来说，个人云硬盘行业的马修效应是时代潮流。百度网盘和腾讯微云都是马太效应在个人云行业的推广者，也是马太效应强化的赢家。

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